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Key West Real Estate Market Update: Spring 2026

  • Writer: Krystal Thomas
    Krystal Thomas
  • Mar 24
  • 4 min read

Updated: Apr 2


The Key West real estate market is continuing to shift as we move into the second quarter of 2026. After several years of rapid appreciation and highly competitive conditions, the market is beginning to normalize. For buyers and sellers alike, understanding these changes is key to making informed decisions.


This February 2026 market update breaks down the latest trends in pricing, inventory, days on market, and overall activity to help you better understand what is happening in the Key West housing market today.


Overview of the Key West Housing Market

The Key West market is transitioning into a more balanced, buyer-influenced environment. February showed clear signs of slowing, and March confirms that trend while adding an important layer of stabilization.


Prices are no longer dropping sharply, inventory is holding steady, and buyer activity—while still selective—is consistent.


This suggests we are no longer in a rapid correction phase, but rather moving into a more sustainable and strategic market. And while the pace has shifted, it is important to note that demand has not disappeared. Serious buyers are still active, and well-positioned homes continue to sell.


Home Prices in Key West

In February, we saw more noticeable price adjustments. By March, those declines began to moderate. The median sale price in March 2026 was $1,157,500, down approximately 4.3 percent year over year, a much smaller decline than February’s 13 percent drop.


The average sale price also showed only a modest decrease of about 2.2 percent year over year. Active median list prices remain slightly down, but the rate of decline has slowed significantly compared to earlier in the year.


What this means for the market is important. Pricing is no longer rapidly correcting. Instead, we are seeing stabilization, which is often the first sign of a healthier long-term market.


For buyers, this creates new opportunities to enter the market with more negotiating power. For sellers, it reinforces the importance of pricing homes accurately from the start.


Days on Market and Buyer Behavior

February saw a sharp increase in days on market but by March that trend began to level out. The average days on market decreased slightly to 95 days, down from February’s 103 days, though still higher than last year. The median days on market also came down to 57 days.


So while homes are still taking longer to sell than they did during peak market conditions, the pace is beginning to stabilize.Buyers are still taking their time, but well-priced homes are starting to move more efficiently.


Sales Activity and Market Pace

One of the most important shifts from February to March is an increase in closed sales.

March recorded 52 closed sales, up over 10 percent compared to March of last year.

This is a notable improvement after February’s significant decline in sales activity.


However, pending sales are still down year over year, indicating that while closings improved, buyer pipeline activity remains somewhat cautious.


Buyers are active, but selective, and tend to be more serious and intentional when making an offer and often leads to smoother transactions for well-prepared sellers.


Inventory and New Listings

Inventory levels in Key West have remained relatively stable, with active listings down slightly by just over 2 percent year over year.


New listings, however, have dropped significantly by more than 30 percent. This reduction in new inventory could help support pricing as the year progresses, especially if buyer demand remains steady.


A lower influx of new listings means less competition for sellers who choose to enter the market now, provided their homes are priced and marketed correctly.


Market Balance and Absorption Rate

The absorption rate increased to 12 months in March, up from February and above last year’s levels. A balanced market typically sits around six months of inventory, so Key West remains in buyer-favored territory.


This gives buyers more negotiating power and more time to evaluate options.


For sellers, it reinforces the importance of strategy and positioning in order to compete effectively.


Pricing Strategy Continues to Drive Results

The sold-to-list price ratio remains around 90 percent, indicating that negotiation is still a key part of the transaction process, as shown in the chart on page 1 of the March report.

Homes that are priced correctly are selling. Homes that are not are sitting longer and often requiring price adjustments.


This continues to be one of the most important factors in today’s market.


What This Means for Buyers

The spring 2026 market presents a strong opportunity for buyers. There is more inventory than in previous years, less competition, and greater negotiating power. The urgency of past markets has been replaced with the ability to be thoughtful and strategic.


Buyers who are prepared and informed are in a position to secure favorable terms and long-term value.


What This Means for Sellers

Accurate pricing, high-quality marketing, and strong presentation are essential. The market is no longer forgiving of overpricing.

The good news is that demand is still present. When homes are positioned correctly, they are selling.


Working with an experienced real estate team can make a significant difference in navigating these conditions.


Key West Real Estate Market Outlook

The Key West real estate market is not declining. It is recalibrating. The transition we saw in early 2026 is now evolving into a more stable spring market.


Prices are stabilizing, days on market are leveling, and sales activity has begun to improve. At the same time, inventory remains steady and new listings are limited.


For buyers and sellers alike, this is a moment to move with intention, backed by data and guided by the right strategy.


If you are considering buying or selling in Key West this spring, having a clear understanding of these trends can help you make confident, informed decisions. If you would like a personalized analysis of your property or guidance on navigating the current market, the ShineGroup team is here to help!

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